| MidEast Camp David Reunion
at UN in New York? |
08/22/2000
A reunion of the dispersed Camp David participants will take place
in New York during the first week of September. The venue will
be at United Nations Headquarters, to be pursued elsewhere as
required. To be precise, on the morning of Wednesday September
6th, President Clinton, Prime Minister Barak and Chairman Arafat
are scheduled to address the millennium summit, a three-day gathering
of heads of state and governments. That will be exactly one week
before the 13th of September, the date indicated by Mr. Arafet
for the declaration of a "Palestinian State". The three will certainly
have to meet in whatever format, but certainly during that session
and at the luncheon given by the Secretary General for visiting
dignitaries.
At Camp David in July the parties left without agreement, but
did not walk out of the negotiating process. President Clinton
certainly did not give up. Political carnivals in the U.S. with
two national conventions have given the parties a dual opportunity
to mobilize their negotiating resources and explore their strategic
traffic lights. Despite political shadow boxing, a generally controlled
situation in the region and toning down of media rhetoric reflected
a common will to allow for the possibility of agreed arrangements.
An outcome of Camp David was the eventual recognition that more
groundwork was requires and more players will have to be involved.
Jerusalem, for example, is not only a municipality with zoning
problems, nor merely a political competition between Israeli and
Palestinian politicians. It is also an emotionally charged cultural,
religious and historical symbol least for Muslims, Jews and Christians
in the world. For three officials, however important their roles
may be, to decide its fate in a secluded Maryland retreat hopelessly
optimistic. The right of return for Palestinians concerns also
other countries hosting substantial visitors like Lebanon, Jordan
and Syria. Countries like Canada and Japan may be ready to play
a role in resettlement or financing, but it is the position of
the Palestinians and countries concerned that initially matter.
That is linked to an agreed settlement of the Arab-Israeli dispute
when a known axiom would apply: no war without Egypt, but no peace
without Syria.
To break the cycle, therefore you must widen the circle. The
current preparatory period seems to explore the most effective
course possible. Hence the value and the venue of the September
reunion. The presence of other leaders would certainly help. Among
those speaking that same morning will be King AbdullahII of Jordan
and Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. It will be interesting
to note the head of special delegation from Syria who will also
address the same morning. So will the Presidents of Micronesia,
Iceland and Belize but that is another matter. Actually, that
violated speaking time, when some heads of state would feel free
to have their point "bilaterals"that is negotiating in specially
arranged locations outside The General Amnesty Hall. The Iranian
President who incidentally chairs the current session of the Islamic
Conference will speak in the afternoon of the same day. That means
he will share lunch at least with the others, where tables will
be spread conveniently to join or separate keen or unwilling parties.
Also present, although speaking the following day, will be President
of Egypt, the original Camp David partner, King Mohammed VI of
Morocco, President of the Committee on Jerusalem established by
the Islamic Conference, the new emir of Qatar, Sheik Hamad whose
open lines with varied parties helped mediate a wide variety of
conflicts. In case required, the Prime Minister of Norway host
of the Oslo accord, will be on board. The Secretary of State of
the "Holy See", The Vatican, will be there too. So will the Algerian
President Boutaflika who headed the session in 1974 during Yaser
Arafat's first UN visit. He, and his country, maintained very
close relations with the Palestinian leadership while both now
enjoy excellent relations with United States. Of course, Russia
is an official co-sponsor of the Middle East peace talks and President
Putin will be there while Mr. Churac, particularly as current
President of the European Union will not miss such an opportunity.
The British were the mandatory power in Palestine and may contribute
with some repair work.
Obviously, all these personalities will not hold one gathering
on the subject. But their presence on the same premises and in
the same or nearby hotels will provide the required proximity
for one or more at a time to be discreetly or partially involved
in specific cases when needed. Whether discussion will continue
at the UN or elsewhere may become clearer after the initial intensive
contacts. Political conditions may cause President Clinton to
move it to the Washington areafor further efforts and undisputed
credit.
The timing of the Noble Peace prize in October may be looming
in the minds of several hopefuls, all of whom will be making prominent
efforts and equal claims. Having the UN as the main venue will
be an excellent key or cover for agreeing to certain compromises:
the whole world not just Washington,Moscow, London or Paris made
the request; the international community demanded that arrangement;
how could one turn it down? Alternatively, the talks may falter
with an agreement to keep talking. The UN meeting however will
take its three-day course as planned. It was not supposed to deal
with the situation in the Middle East, nor will it do so despite
intensive talks in the corridors about it. The summit officially
is a review of the UN's future role. Only its timing and the attendance
of so many heads of state made it conveniently trendy, without
any one party seeming to awkwardly seek a special meeting with
others.
Whatever happens following the reunion of September 6th and its
widened circle, such a unique opportunity in such a universal
venue is a formidable response to those who sometimes ask what
was the use of the United Nations.
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